As of this writing, Polymarket has Trumps odds of victory at 60% and Harris at 40%.
Who does Polymarket think will win the popular vote?
Its odds have Harris at 66% and Trump at just 34%.
Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump arrives to campaign rally at the Cobb Energy Performing Arts Centre on October 15, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia.© Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images
Trumps lead on Polymarket was weird.
The Wall Street Journalmay have found the answer.
Over the last few weeks, four new accounts on Polymarket have dumped $30 million onto the site.
That amount of cash has swung Polymarkets odds in Trumps favor.
Who would dump $30 million onto Polymarket to swing the odds in Trumps favor?
Its a mystery that may never have an answer.
Trump now leading Kamala by 3% in betting markets.
More accurate than polls, as actual money is on the line, hesaid in a post on X.
The crypto-backed betting site Polymarket repeatedly bills itself as the future of news.
But the site is not an indicator of reality.
Its a reflection of what degenerate gamblers are willing to wager on a coin flip.
The simple truth is that nothing can decisively predict a U.S. election.
But the future is never certain.
Betting markets are just a new kind of prognostication that some will cling to for comfort.
But stare too deeply and youll get lost in the hype.
You may even lose money.
Better to justaccept the mystery.
News from the future, delivered to your present.
