And it could get that number up to 130 by the end of the decade.

The worlds nuclear powers are cagey about the exact nature of their nukes.

One of its big projects is the Nuclear Notebook, aconstantly updating listof the worlds nuclear weapons.

North Korea 2016 Purported Warhead

Credit: DPRK image via the Korean Central News Agency

In North Korea, its almost impossible.

North Korea was not always as closed as it is now.

Kim Jong-un loves to pose with nukes and launchers in parades.

Stellar Laelaps / Flight Test Aegis Weapon System 32 (ftm 32)

In its research, the FAS identified three kinds of North Korean warheads which it gave nicknames.

The names stuck and the FAS ran with them.

Theres the disco ball, which the DPRK first showed off in 2016.

Nuclearmuseum

Supposedly, this is a single-stage implosion nuke.

Basically, its a big silver ball with a bit of nuclear material surrounded by high explosives.

The implosion of the high explosives would trigger the nuclear explosion.

Photo: Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service

This is similar to the nuclear equipment detonated at the Trinity site inOppenheimer.

In 2017, Kim Jong Un posed with what the FAS dubbed the peanut.

This is supposedly a two-stage thermonuclear unit.

Vladimir Putin at a meeting at the Kremlin

FAS said in its report that the peanut might not be a thermonuclear weapon at all, however.

This could be a gear filled with tritium, which would improve the efficiency of a single-stage gear.

In 2023, the DPRK unveiled photos of what the FAS called the olive.

Photo: Department of Defense, Defense Atomic Support Agency / National Archives and Records Administration (NARA), Courtesy Alexander Mikhalchenko, from his “Thousands of Suns” exhibition at the Multimedia Art Museum in Moscow

Based on the available knowledge, FAS also tried to guess how much nuclear material North Korea has.

It then used that number to extrapolate the number of nukes its sitting on.

Its estimates were conservative.

Map With Seismometers

Some, but not all, countries with nukes maintain something called a no-first-use policy.

Its a codified promise that theyll only use their nukes if someone else attacks them with nukes first.

China has a no-first-use policy.

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The United States and Russia do not.

North Korea once promised it would never use nuclear weapons preemptively, but its changed its mind.

News from the future, delivered to your present.

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the media during a guided tour of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts before leading a board meeting on March 17, 2025 in Washington, DC.

Trump Says He Wants to Get Rid of Nukes.

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U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the media during a guided tour of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts before leading a board meeting on March 17, 2025 in Washington, DC.

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