All of that awfulness would result in 10.3 million hospitalizations and 159,200 deaths, according to the model.
But what about a scenario where vaccination rates stayed the same as 2025?
The next 25 years would still see more than 850,000 cases in the U.S., according to the model.
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks at a news conference at the Health and Human Services Department on April 22, 2025 in Washington, DC.© Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
The population needs a vaccination rate of roughly 95% to achieve herd immunity for measles.
The researchers estimate current vaccination coverage in their models at between 87.7% and 95.6%.
Immunization varies by state.
Childhood MMR vaccination rates by state for the 2023-24 school year. Screenshot: CDC
Idaho had a rate of just 79.6%.
Illinois just reported its first confirmed case on Thursday.
In fact, Kennedy recently said that he would reveal the cause of autism by the fall.
Kennedy also suggested that many diseases were brand new or not present when he was a child.
They were not part of the nomenclature.
They werent part of the dialogue.
There was zero spent in this country treating chronic disease when my uncle was president, Kennedy continued.
Today its about $1.8 trillion annually.
Its bankrupting our nation.
74% of American kids cannot qualify for military service.
How are we going to maintain our global leadership with such a sick population?
Her existence was kept a secret for decades and her own father reportedly never went to visit her.
Rosemarys mother didnt see her for 20 years.
None of this is good news, to be sure.
Especially when those officials are now compiling lists of people deemed unfit to join the military or pay taxes.
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