Now, the asteroids impact odds have reached their highest likelihood yet.
That number means both a lot and very little at the same time.
On January 28,2024 YRs impact oddswere 1-in-83, or 1.2%.
2024 YR4 as seen by the European Southern Observatory’s Very Large Telescope.Image: ESO/O. Hainaut et al.
We hope thats whats happening here.
If Earth remains in that corridor of uncertainty, the odds of an impact rise.
As it stands, theres a nonzero chance that 2024 YR4 will hit Earth in seven years.
A graphic showing the damage caused by asteroids of different sizes. Graphic: NASA
Should that happen, the impact would be devastating on a local scale.
Several years ago, NASAs DART mission proved that scientists could change the trajectory of an asteroid.
Rest assured, scientists are working to determine the exact path of 2024 YR4.
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